Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 1.415631 1.665876 1.927247 2.218984 2.533974 2.862399 3.229323
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 1.008763 1.348134 1.725826 2.170294 2.672612 3.217064 3.846393
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.784622 1.159389 1.596892 2.131060 2.753016 3.443497 4.257829
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.648799 1.053161 1.545937 2.166606 2.906844 3.744070 4.746522
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.533775 0.953035 1.485825 2.176418 3.017733 3.984580 5.156986
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.423468 0.842459 1.399777 2.143815 3.069508 4.149776 5.475426
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.386412 0.827823 1.432915 2.255877 3.292964 4.514336 6.023637
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.356611 0.819057 1.470664 2.371512 3.519345 4.881652 6.574985
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.335064 0.819459 1.518688 2.498936 3.759493 5.265159 7.145634
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.321741 0.830661 1.580399 2.643526 4.020855 5.674390 7.747353
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.292388 0.811470 1.596710 2.726389 4.203534 5.988048 8.235558
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.245042 0.754663 1.554510 2.727691 4.280421 6.171500 8.567328
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.180929 0.659359 1.453830 2.652329 4.265887 6.253177 8.791269
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.129061 0.574365 1.361313 2.583380 4.256884 6.340617 9.022555
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.093228 0.511174 1.295381 2.545383 4.282664 6.466030 9.294565
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.074465 0.482551 1.283105 2.582758 4.407415 6.715000 9.717453
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.055666 0.446539 1.254788 2.594251 4.495825 6.917069 10.082132
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.035882 0.396404 1.196708 2.558028 4.517252 7.032512 10.338919
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.033423 0.404641 1.244212 2.681715 4.757577 7.427932 10.942984
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.031445 0.414083 1.293913 2.808967 5.003212 7.830740 11.557022
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.030578 0.427777 1.351699 2.948948 5.266864 8.257287 12.201375
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.031123 0.447558 1.421234 3.107432 5.556591 8.717983 12.889021
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.026779 0.444525 1.446986 3.198109 5.752672 9.058573 13.427770